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Wayne County forecast for May 17th

Wayne County forecast for May 17th

News 10NBC Meteorologist Rich Caniglia pinpoints today’s Wayne County community weather forecast.

Doing something about the weather

"Everybody talks about the weather, but nobody ever does anything about it."
- Charles Dudley Warner (The Hartford Courant, 1897)

Given our late starting spring, there are no doubt those who wish someone could do something about the weather.

Well, meteorologists cannot do much about actual future weather conditions, of course.

But many weather-sensitive professions are using the expertise of meteorologists who make a career of “doing something about the weather.”

What kind of weather can we expect this March?

It has been 22 years since this area was glazed by one of the biggest ice storms to strike the United States.

The Rochester/Genesee Valley ice storm commenced on March 3, 1991.

It resulted from low pressure tracking into from the south into eastern New York.  This allowed warm air to flow into the upper levels of the atmosphere over Rochester, while northeast winds at the surface drew subfreezing air into the area.

Snowflakes which fell from the clouds melted into raindrops upon reaching the warmer layer above the surface, only to freeze upon reaching the ground where temperatures were below 32 degrees.

The storm was extraordinary.

It produced a 50 miles wide band of freezing rain aligned along the Genesee River Valley.  While Syracuse to the east experienced rain, Buffalo to the west had mainly sleet and snow.  But Rochester endured 17 hours of continuous freezing rain resulting in an ice accretion of more than one inch.

Winter storm heading our way

A winter storm warning is in effect for Monroe and Wayne Counties for Friday until Saturday morning.

Snow is expected to start small early Friday, becoming heavier throughout the afternoon and into the night.

By Saturday morning, there could be anywhere between eight to 12 inches of snow north of the Thruway and four to eight inches south of the Thruway.

Travel is expected to be especially difficult on Friday night.

The City of Rochester says crews and plowing contractors will be working around the clock.

In case of power outages, RG&E and NYSEG say they have emergency planners ready but still advise having battery powered flashlights on hand.

It's a New Year and a New Pattern

This past month of December started much as last December did in Rochester, warm and snow-free.  But that changed midway through the month as a new hemispheric jet stream pattern emerged.  (The potential of this happening was something we addressed in detail during our winter weather special back in November.)  

The new pattern resulted in the greatest national Christmas morning snow cover in a decade, with three times as much of the country covered in Christmas snow than was observed last year.  And as of January 1, the U.S. snow cover stood at 67 percent.  Last year at the same time, only 20 percent of the country had snow cover.  

Quiet weather not expected to last

An update from Josh Nichols on what to expect the next few days:

After a little snow overnight, we can expect a quiet Christmas Day with nothing more than a few flurries and a lot of clouds. However, our quiet weather will not last.

A potent winter storm will target Rochester, Western New York and the Finger Lakes beginning later Wednesday night and continuing through most of Thursday.